Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.036111 0.041855 0.048226 0.055819 0.064625 0.074523 0.086499
2026-01-04 0.027227 0.034769 0.043981 0.056069 0.071535 0.090690 0.116266
2026-01-11 0.021907 0.030125 0.040928 0.056189 0.077244 0.105342 0.145823
2026-01-18 0.018546 0.027096 0.039034 0.056954 0.083258 0.120590 0.177860
2026-01-25 0.016270 0.025045 0.037950 0.058363 0.089976 0.137300 0.213963
2026-02-01 0.013743 0.022153 0.035101 0.056555 0.091393 0.146068 0.239031
2026-02-08 0.012029 0.020220 0.033369 0.056096 0.094637 0.157788 0.270026
2026-02-15 0.010609 0.018537 0.031760 0.055524 0.097468 0.168994 0.301433
2026-02-22 0.009670 0.017517 0.031087 0.056380 0.102732 0.184789 0.342702
2026-03-01 0.008692 0.016287 0.029870 0.056071 0.105808 0.197005 0.378984
2026-03-08 0.007685 0.014865 0.028119 0.054523 0.106336 0.204541 0.407322
2026-03-15 0.006820 0.013596 0.026486 0.052965 0.106590 0.211488 0.435270
2026-03-22 0.006348 0.013047 0.026185 0.054023 0.112231 0.229795 0.489034
2026-03-29 0.005840 0.012361 0.025532 0.054289 0.116311 0.245519 0.539725
2026-04-05 0.005375 0.011705 0.024855 0.054410 0.120081 0.261038 0.592096
2026-04-12 0.005018 0.011230 0.024494 0.055152 0.125269 0.280190 0.655155
2026-04-19 0.004747 0.010910 0.024423 0.056516 0.132004 0.303555 0.731098
2026-04-26 0.004265 0.010052 0.023062 0.054765 0.131345 0.310078 0.768052
2026-05-03 0.003929 0.009490 0.022303 0.054321 0.133702 0.323878 0.824620
2026-05-10 0.003620 0.008954 0.021540 0.053768 0.135711 0.337075 0.881493
2026-05-17 0.003426 0.008674 0.021349 0.054596 0.141261 0.359616 0.965582
2026-05-24 0.003183 0.008243 0.020743 0.054298 0.143888 0.375132 1.033249
2026-05-31 0.002900 0.007673 0.019722 0.052799 0.143181 0.381958 1.078254